摘要
文章利用多项式法将气候耗能量从能源消费总量中分离出来 ,用统计分析的方法探讨了气候耗能量与气候因子之间的关系及其变化。研究表明 :从 2 0世纪 5 0年代到 80年代初期 ,旱涝灾害是影响我国气候耗能量的主要气候因子 ,它们之间存在显著的线性相关关系 ,随着经济的发展和人民生活水平的提高 ,旱涝灾害对气候耗能量的影响逐渐减弱 ,气温对气候耗能量的影响日趋显著 ,目前正处于过渡时期。
The energy consumption is divided into social economics energy consumption and climate energy consumption by a multinomial method.The relation and its changes of climate energy consumption and climate factor of China with the statistical analysis are discussed. The conclusions are as follows :the drought and waterlogging was a main climate factor before the 1980s, after then, the contribution of temperature on energy consumption increases constantly,and the influence of meteorology disasters decreases gradually. At present, the influence of temperature is not very obvious and it is in transition period.
出处
《气象科技》
北大核心
2003年第1期29-32,共4页
Meteorological Science and Technology
基金
河南省自然科学基金项目 ( 9940 710 0 )资助
