摘要
战场态势预测在作战辅助决策中占据重要地位,能够为指挥员提供准确且可靠的决策依据,是增强作战效能的重要手段。从战场态势预测的基本概念入手,阐述了其内涵、要素体系及其复杂性;总结了战场态势预测领域的4类方法手段,分析了其局限性和优缺点;介绍了美军态势预测领域的两个典型应用;提出了大数据技术、生成式人工智能以及预测结果的可解释性在战场态势预测领域广阔的应用前景。
Battlefield situation prediction occupies an important position in combat auxiliary decision-making,providing commanders with accurate and reliable decision-making bases,and is an important means of enhancing operational effectiveness.Starting with the basic concepts of battlefield situation prediction,its connotations,element systems,and complexity are expounded.Four categories of methodologies and means in the field of battlefield situation prediction are analyzed,including their limitations,advantages,and disadvantages.Two typical applications in the field of US military situation prediction are introduced.The big data technology,generative artificial intelligence and the interpretability of prediction results have broad application prospects in the field of battlefield situation prediction.
作者
贺鹏
唐宇波
郭圣明
HE Peng;TANG Yubo;GUO Shengming(Graduate School,National Defense University,Beijing 100091,China;Joint Operations College,National Defense University,Beijing 100091,China)
出处
《火力与指挥控制》
北大核心
2025年第9期1-10,共10页
Fire Control & Command Control
基金
国家社会科学基金(2024-SKJJ-C-071)
装备预研基金资助项目(315057104)。
关键词
战场态势预测
态势认知
指挥控制
人工智能
平行仿真
battlefield situation prediction
situation awareness
command and control
artificial intelligence
parallel simulation
