摘要
电力与经济具有很高的相关性,如何保持电力与经济的协调发展是至关重要的。文中采用智能工程的方法,模拟经济发展的多种途径,寻找电力发展的α-优越解,作为电力可持续发展的基准限。模拟显示:我国发电装机应保持每年投产3000万～3800万kW,电网输送及供电能力也要增加相应的容量,才能以最小的风险,最大可能地减少电力供应不足或过剩的概率,最大限度地满足经济发展对电力的需求,尽可能地保持电力与经济的协调发展。
There is very close relationship between electricity consumption and national economy. How to meet the power demand with
sustainable power development is an importantissue. In this paper, the α-smart solution of the problem in the Intelligent space by using Intelligent
Engineering has been studied to be the baseline space of power supply. It is shown that the increased new power supply capacity in 30～
38 GW each year will meet the power demands with different economic growths in a lower risk.
出处
《中国电力》
CSCD
北大核心
2004年第4期1-4,共4页
Electric Power
