摘要
本文对我国1978～2002年产业结构变化状况和产业结构变化趋势进行定量分析,考察产业结构变动引起各产业部门对经济增长的贡献和作用的相应变化。实证检验表明,这一时期我国产业结构变动基本符合工业化发展的演变规律,但从我国经济发展的要求看,产业结构转换仍滞后于总量增长的要求;进一步优化产业结构,需要着力解决"三农"问题、提升企业的国际竞争力、加快发展第三产业。
This paper has done quantitative analysis on status and trend of China's industrial structure change during the period of 1978-2002, and has analysed the relative change of contribution and affect on economic growth of every industrial sector that caused by industrial structure change. The Empirical test has demonstrated that the industrial structure change is accord with the evolve rule of industrialization development, and total economic growth is the weighted sum up of the growth of every industrial sector. However, China's industrial structure change has lagged behind the demand of economic development, we must press ahead to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure so as to bring about an industrial pattern with high and new technology industries as the leader, basic and manufacturing industries as the kingpin and the service industry developing in all areas, at the same time, correctly handle the issues concerning of agriculture, countryside and farmers, continue to strengthen enterprise's international competitiveness.
出处
《中南财经政法大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第2期49-54,共6页
Journal of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law
关键词
产业结构
因素分析
经济增长
Industrial Structure
Factor Analysis
Economic Growth
