摘要
在城市间人口短距离流动逐渐趋于常态化、河南省流动人口有回流转向且部分地市出现人口收缩的背景下,将县(区)作为研究的基本地域单元,选取全国人口普查中的流入人口数据,采用人口重心模型、标准差椭圆与多元线性回归模型等方法,研究河南省流入人口的时空格局及影响因素.结果表明:(1)1990-2010年河南省流入人口规模不断扩大,其中省内跨县流入人口占比越来越高.(2)河南省流入人口在空间分布上呈东北-西南方向拓展;人口流入集聚特征渐现,呈现向郑州市区集中的态势.(3)影响总人口流入与省内跨县人口流入的因素较为一致,1990年经济发展水平最为突出;2000年居民生活水平最为突出;2010年经济发展水平和居民生活水平相近;跨省流入人口流动目的较为单一,以经济因素为主.河南省是中国人口演化的“缩影”,研究河南省流入人口的时空特征及影响因素,对于河南省及类似地区乃至全国流入人口空间分布格局优化及引导具有较好的理论和借鉴意义.
Under the background of the gradual normalization of short-distance population flow between cities, the return of floating population and population shrinkage in some cities in Henan Province, counties(districts) were taken as the basic geographical unit of the study. Based on the inflow population data of the fourth census, fifth census and sixth census, and using the population center of gravity model, standard deviation ellipse and multiple linear regression model, etc., this study analyzed the spatiotemporal pattern and influencing factors of the inflow population in Henan Province. The results show that:(1) The inflow population continued to expand in Henan Province, and the proportion of inflowing population across counties in the province was increasing from 1990 to 2010.(2) The spatial distribution of the inflowing population expanded in the northeast-southwest direction, and population inflow gradually showed a trend of agglomeration in Zhengzhou urban area.(3) The factors affecting the total population inflow and the inter-county population inflow in the province were relatively consistent. In 1900, the driving effect of the economic development level was the most prominent, and the living standards of the residents was the most prominent in 2000;and the effects of the two were similar in 2010. The purpose of inter-provincial influx population was relatively simple, mainly based on economic factors. As the "microcosm" of China’s population evolution, this study reveals the temporal and spatial characteristics and influencing factors of influx population in Henan Province, which has good theoretical and reference significance for the optimization and guidance of the spatial distribution pattern of inflowing population in Henan Province and similar regions and even the whole country.
作者
刘静玉
李晓珍
曹志敏
潘涛
霍佳梅
LIU Jingyu;LI Xiaozhen;CAO Zhimin;PAN Tao;HUO Jiamei(Research Center of Regional Development and Planning/College of Geography and Environmental Sciencel Key Laboratory of Geospatial Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River Region,Ministryof Education,Henan University,HenanKaifeng 475004,China;Scientific Academy of Natural Resources of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 450000,China)
出处
《河南大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2022年第6期657-667,共11页
Journal of Henan University:Natural Science
基金
河南省高校人文社会科学研究一般项目(2021-ZZJH-053)。
关键词
流入人口
时空格局
影响因素
河南省
inflow population
temporal and spatial pattern
influencing factors
Henan Province
