摘要
采用空间统计分析方法,通过县级低保人口等数据对中国县级贫困残疾人口的分布特征及其影响因素进行了深入研究。研究发现:2010—2016年中国贫困残疾人口规模有所下降,其总量呈现出自东向西逐渐增加的阶梯式分布特征。中国贫困残疾率呈现出西部、中部、东部和东北地区依次逐渐增高的态势,贫困残疾率总体略有上升,东北地区贫困残疾率上升较为明显。中国贫困残疾率存在正向空间集聚效应,其热点区集中在浙江省的部分地区,冷点区集中在西藏自治区的部分地区。中国贫困残疾人口重心分布在河南省,且向东北方向移动了125.81千米。从影响因素看,人均GDP和人均受教育水平对贫困残疾率有显著的正向影响。
This paper analyzes the spatial distribution characteristics of disabled poverty population and its influence factors by using the spatial statistical analysis method and the data of low guarantee population in China.The research found that:1)Disabled poverty population in China tended to decrease in general from 2010-2016 and it showed a stepwise increase pattern from east to west in China.2)The rate of disabled poverty population showed a trend of gradual increase in the western,central,eastern and northeastern regions.The rate of disabled poverty population increased slightly in general.The rate of disabled poverty population in the northeastern region increased significantly.3)There was a positive spatial agglomeration effect of the disabled poverty rate in China.The hot spots of the disabled poverty rate were concentrated in the Zhejiang province and the cold spots were concentrated in Tibet Autonomous Region.4)The center of gravity of disabled poverty rate was located in Henan province,which has moved 125.81 kilometers to the northeast.5)The per capita GDP and the per capita education level have a significant positive impact on the poverty and disability rate.
作者
高向东
王新贤
王晶
GAO Xiangdong;WANG Xinxian;WANG Jing(School of Public Administration, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062,China;The Center for Modern Chinese City Studies, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062,China)
出处
《人口与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第3期32-41,共10页
Population & Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“胡焕庸线稳定性与中国人口均衡发展战略研究”(18ZDA132)。
关键词
贫困残疾人口
空间分布
时空变化
影响因素
disabled poverty population
spatial distribution
temporal and spatial variation
influence factors
