摘要
针对传统预测与订货模式对不确定的需求缺乏反应的问题 ,建立了具有需求预测更新的订货模式模型 ,比较了两种订货模式在集中决策供应链中的收益和最优订货水平。而后针对分散决策供应链中具有需求预测更新的批发价合同引起的双重边际化问题 。
Facing the lack of response to uncertain demand in traditional ordering mode,based on the model of the demand forecast update ordering mode,compared the profit of supply chain and the optimal ordering level of the two different mode.Then,in order to solve the double marginalization problem induced by the wholesale price contract in demand forecast update mode,the revenue sharing contract model was made,the solution to the problem and some useful conclusions were drawn.
出处
《中国管理科学》
CSSCI
2005年第1期37-41,共5页
Chinese Journal of Management Science
基金
国家自然科学基金海外杰出青年基金B类项目( 70 0 2 810 2 )
关键词
供应链协调
需求预测更新
供应链合同
对称信息
贝叶斯分析
supply chain coordination
demand forecast update
supply chain contract
symmetric information
Bayesian analysis
