摘要
根据耗散结构理论自组织建模原理,考虑区域人口的相互迁移作用,尝试建立了城市区域人口动态演化自组织模型,并对模型的解法及典型计算结果进行了讨论,在长沙市对模型进行了实际应用,模拟预测了长沙市未来百年9个区域人口动态演化情景,得出了相应的结论.
According to the self-organization modeling idea of dissipative structure theory, we attempted to make out the self-organization model of population variety in urban areas with the migration between urban areas under consideration. Furthermore, the solution and typical results of the model were discussed. In the application of the model in Changsha, population varieties of nine areas in Chang-sha for the future were predicted and some related conclusions were made.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2003年第10期115-120,共6页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
国家自然科学基金(70171055
50179011)
高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研奖励计划项目
关键词
自组织
人口
迁移
模型
预测
self-organization
population
migration
model
prediction
