摘要
随着“双碳”目标的推进,石化行业面临能源系统转型和结构调整的挑战,亟需深入研究碳排放的驱动因素及减排路径。构建STIRPAT模型,分析石化行业碳排放的驱动影响因素,并根据因素权重结果提出碳排放预测模型的参数设置方案。研究表明,石化行业的碳排放受能源结构、技术水平及产业结构等因素的综合影响。通过优化能源结构、推广低碳技术、调整产业结构、加强碳排放管理、加大政策支持、提升从业人员技能以及加强区域协同等多方面的措施,可以有效降低石化行业碳排放,实现绿色低碳转型,促进行业可持续发展。
With the advancement of the'double carbon'goals,the petrochemical industry is confronted with the challenges of energy system transformation and structural adjustment,and urgently needs in-depth research on the driving factors of carbon emissions and the paths for emission reduction.The STIRPAT model is constructed to analyze the driving and influencing factors of carbon emissions in the petrochemical industry,and a parameter setting scheme for the carbon emission prediction model is proposed based on the results of factor weights.Research shows that the carbon emissions of the petrochemical industry are comprehensively influenced by factors such as energy structure,technological level and industrial structure.Through multiple measures such as optimizing the energy structure,promoting low-carbon technologies,adjusting the industrial structure,strengthening carbon emission management,increasing policy support,enhancing the skills of practitioners,and strengthening regional coordination,the carbon emissions of the petrochemical industry can be effectively reduced,achieving a green and low-carbon transformation and promoting the sustainable development of the industry.
作者
卢勇
张艳
LU Yong;ZHANG Yan
出处
《节能》
2025年第8期43-46,共4页
Energy Conservation
