安徽省数字经济、低碳发展与建筑业高质量发展耦合协调时空演化及影响因素分析

Spatio-temporal Evolution of Coupled Coordination of Digital Economy,Low-Carbon Development and High-Quality Development of Construction Industry in Anhui Province and Analysis of Influencing Factors

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摘要以安徽省16个地级市为研究对象,构建数字经济、低碳发展与建筑业高质量发展三系统综合评价指标体系,采用熵权TOPSIS模型、耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数、障碍度模型等方法,测算2013—2023年安徽省三系统耦合协调度,系统揭示安徽省三系统耦合协调发展的时空演化规律、区域差异来源及影响协同发展的关键影响因素。结果显示:(1)安徽省三系统综合评价指数排序为低碳发展>数字经济>建筑业高质量发展,其中数字经济综合评价指数增长速度最快;(2)安徽省三系统耦合协调度持续上升,空间格局呈现皖中>皖南>皖北梯度递减的特征;(3)安徽省三系统耦合协调度总体差异呈波动下降态势,区域间差异是导致三系统耦合协调度差异的主要原因,其中皖北—皖南区域间差异最为突出;(4)互联网发展、低碳发展进展与创新驱动是影响三系统协调发展的主要因素。 This paper takes 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province as the research object,constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the three-system of the construction industry,namely digital economy,low-carbon development and high-quality development,and adopts entropy-weighted TOPSIS model,coupling coordination degree model,Dagum Gini coefficient,obstacle degree model to measure the degree of coupling coordination of the three-system in Anhui Province from 2013 to 2023 and their patiotemporal evolution laws,the reasons of regional differences and the key influencing factors affecting the synergistic development.The results show that the ranking for the three systems of the construction industry in Anhui Province is low-carbon development>digital economy>high-quality development,in which the comprehensive evaluation index of the digital economy has the fastest growth rate.The coordination degree of the three-system coupling continues to rise,with the gradient of central Anhui>southern Anhui>northern Anhui.The overall differences in the coordination degree of the three-system coupling in Anhui Province show a fluctuating decline,and the reginal differences are the main cause of the overall differences,with the most prominent differences occurring between the northern and southern Anhui.Internet development,progress of low-carbon development and innovation drive are the main factors affecting the coordinated development of the three systems.

作者朱雪欣董玉洁 ZHU Xuexin;DONG Yujie(School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao 266520,China;University Research Center for Smart City Construction and Management of Shandong Province,Qingdao 266520,China)

机构地区青岛理工大学管理工程学院山东省高校智慧城市建设管理研究中心

出处《安徽建筑大学学报》 2025年第4期65-75,共11页 Journal of Anhui Jianzhu University

基金教育部人文社会科学基金项目(23YJC630212)。

关键词数字经济低碳发展建筑业高质量发展耦合协调度时空演化 digital economy low-carbon development high-quality development of the construction industry coupling coordination degree spatio-temporal evolution