摘要
在水库移民安置中,移民安置意愿对移民后续发展和稳定至关重要,本文依据计划行为理论,对其进行延伸,构建更加系统的移民家庭安置方式选择行为的解释框架,并以已安置完成且获得较高满意度的HN省CSD水库移民安置数据为基础,运用结构方程模型,分析移民安置意愿影响因素及其影响路径。结果表明:移民自身心理预期、学习与认知能力、恢复与适应能力是影响移民安置意愿的重要因素,同时外部条件驱动也以移民搬迁态度为中介间接影响其安置意愿,另外各潜变量对应的观测变量分别对移民安置方式选择产生正向或负向影响。最后,结合分析结果,针对移民安置过程中可能存在的冲突和问题提出对移民进行安置方式选择指导、降低城镇安置移民生活成本和搬迁风险、允许移民选择多种安置方式等建议。
In the reservoir resettlement,resettlement willingness is very important to the subsequent development and stability of immigrants.This paper extends it according to the planned behavior theory,constructs a more systematic interpretation framework for the choice of reset⁃tlement methods of immigrant families,and uses the structural equation model to analyze the influencing factors and influencing paths of re⁃settlement willingness based on the resettlement data of CSD reservoir in HN Province,which has been completed and obtained high satisfac⁃tion.The results show that the psychological expectation,learning and cognitive ability,recovery and adaptability of immigrants are impor⁃tant factors affecting resettlement willingness.At the same time,the external conditions also indirectly affect their resettlement willingness through the migration attitude.In addition,the observation variables corresponding to each potential variable have a positive or negative im⁃pact on the choice of resettlement methods.Finally,combined with the analysis results,aiming at the possible conflicts and problems in the process of resettlement,this paper puts forward some suggestions,such as guiding the selection of resettlement methods,reducing the living costs and relocation risks of urban resettlement immigrants,and allowing immigrants to choose a variety of resettlement methods.
作者
李新宇
姚凯文
LI Xin-yu;YAO Kai-wen(School of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,Beijing,China)
出处
《中国农村水利水电》
北大核心
2023年第5期262-267,共6页
China Rural Water and Hydropower
关键词
水库移民
安置意愿
影响因素
计划行为理论
结构方程模型
reservoir resettlement
resettlement willingness
influencing factors
theory of planned behavior
structural equation model
