摘要
基于2005~2014年三大产业相关数据,通过建立自回归分布滞后模型,对外商直接投资(FDI)和产业结构升级之间的关系进行分析.结果表明:FDI规模的扩大降低了第一产业产值比重,有利于第二产业和第三产业产值比重的上升,FDI对第三产业的正向促进作用要大于对第二产业的促进作用.从长期来看,FDI规模对三大产业产值比重变动影响程度较小.说明FDI对我国产业结构升级具有一定的推动作用,但效果不佳.
Based on the data of the three industries from 2005 to 2014,the relationship between foreign direct investment( FDI) and the upgrading of industrial structure is analyzed by establishing the autoregressive distribution lag model. The results show that the expansion of FDI has reduced the proportion of primary industry's output value,which is beneficial for increasing both the proportion of the secondary industry's output value and that of the tertiary industry's output value. The influence from FDI on the tertiary industry to promote the positive role is greater than the secondary industry. In the long run,the influence on the proportions of the three major industries' output value from FDI is of a smaller degree. It shows that FDI has a certain impetus to the upgrading of China's industrial structure,but the effect is not good.
出处
《湘南学院学报》
2017年第2期77-82,共6页
Journal of Xiangnan University
基金
安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目(ACYC2015027)
关键词
FDI
产业结构
自回归分布滞后模型
FDI
industrial structure
autoregressive distribution hysteresis model
