摘要
笔者主要基于消费存在惯性这一基本思路,基于GMM方法使用全国省际面板数据研究消费惯性存在的情形下,居民收入增长、财政支出以及通货膨胀等因素对消费增长的影响作用进行研究。研究发现,中国城镇居民和农村居民的消费水平都表现出较为明显的惯性特征,而且其变化趋势是不同的。城镇居民消费水平的惯性特征是逐渐强化的,而农村居民消费的惯性则经历了"U"型变化。文章最后结合研究结论提出了促进消费增长的政策建议。
This paper investigates the effects of income growth,government expenditure and inflation on the growth of consumption. We introduce the consumption inertia effects. The empirical method is GMM. The results indicate that there are distinct characteristics in China＇s urban and rural residents＇ consumption. However,the consumption inertia＇s alteration trend between urban and rural residents＇ is quite different. Urban residents＇ consumption inertia become more and more stronger with the change of other influence factors,while there is a U shape change for rural residents＇ consumption inertia characteristic.
出处
《经济经纬》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期120-125,共6页
Economic Survey
