摘要
以深圳市某行政区2004—2012年逐月生活垃圾产生量为基础数据,建立了时间序列分析的ARIMA模型,通过不同年份数据建模预测结果对比,确定预测期为建模期后12个月。应用SPSS 19软件对2013年逐月生活垃圾产生量进行预测,该区域2013年生活垃圾年产生199.36万t,在2012年基础上增长14.38%。
Based on the monthly data of domestic waste generation in one district of Shenzhen from 2004 to 2012, an ARIMA model of time series analysis was established. By contrast of the modeling results of different yearly data, the forecast period was identified to be 12 months. The monthly output of domestic waste in 2013 was forecast by using SPSS 19 software. The output of domestic waste was forecast to be h 993 6 million tons in this district in 2013, with 14. 38% increase rate on the basis of the output in 2012.
出处
《环境卫生工程》
2013年第5期1-4,共4页
Environmental Sanitation Engineering
基金
深圳市城管科研项目(201308)
