摘要
随着社会经济快速发展和人口迅猛增长,各国的经济增长均面临不同程度的能源瓶颈约束,文章基于Granger因果检验、协整分析等计量模型和方法,分析了辽宁省电力能源消费与经济增长之间的内在联系,通过分析得出如下结论:辽宁省电力消费与经济增长之间存在长期协整关系,电力能源消费引起生产总值GDP的变化,是经济增长的单向Granger因果关系。最后针对辽宁省就如何加快电力能源结构调整,推动能源产业转型升级,促进电力与经济协调发展方面提出了具体对策建议。
With the rapid economic development and population growth, many countries economic growth face different degree of energy bottleneck constraint. Based on Granger causality test, cointegration analysis of measurement model and method, this paper analyzes the Liaoning province electric energy consumption and economic growth of between inner link, Through the analysis of the conclusions are as follows： Liaoning province power consumption and economic growth a eointegrating relationship between, electric energy consumption caused by the change of GDP. Economic growth is the one-way Granger causality. Finally, according to the Liaoning province how to accelerate the electric energy structure adjustment, push forward the transformation and upgrading of the energy industry, and promote electric power and economic development, the countermeasures are put forward.
出处
《价值工程》
2012年第33期169-170,共2页
Value Engineering
基金
2012年度辽宁省经济社会发展课题立项"基于电力供应链的辽宁能源消耗实证分析及节能减排机制的构建"
课题编号:2012lslktzijjx-45
