摘要
以向量自回归模型为基础,运用安徽省1985—2009年数据,考察城市化、工业化与城乡收入差距之间的长期均衡关系和短期动态变化规律。研究结果表明,城市化在短期内有助于缩小城乡收入差距,但长期来看扩大了城乡收入差距;工业化在短期内扩大了城乡收入差距,但长期来说这种负面影响逐渐消失,最终将缩小城乡收入差距。据此,提出缩小城乡收入差距的政策建议。
Based on the vector autoregression model, by using time series data from 1985 to 2009 of Anhui, the paper aims at investigating the long-term equilibrium relationship and short-term dynamic changes among urbanization, industrialization and urban-rural income gap. The results show that urbanization and industrialization are the causes of variation of urban-rural income gap, industrialization are the cause of urbanization, and the urbanization have no remarkable impacts on industrializatiom urbanization would help narrow the urban-rural income gap in short term, but in the long run it has expanded urban-rural income gap~ industrialization has expanded urban-rural income gap in short term, but in the long run such negative effects would gradually disappear, and industrialization would narrow urban-rural income gap eventually. According to the above analysis, policy advices on narrowing urban-rural income gap are proposed.
出处
《安徽农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2012年第5期45-50,共6页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural University:SOC.SCI.
基金
国家科技支撑计划课题(2008BAD96B12:<农业产业功能耦合与现代乡村社区管理支撑技术研究与集成>)
关键词
城市化
工业化
城乡收入差距
VAR模型
urbanization
industrialization
urban-rural income gap
VAR model
