摘要
参照现行的“技巧水平”评分办法,评定了常用集成预报方法的技巧水平。通过分析评定结果,引进最优化技术,导出了高技巧水平的集成预报新方案。集成结果优于线性回归等集成方法。
In this paper the current synthesizing methods forecast techniques are assessed in accordance with existing marking method called “technique level”.The plan with a high forecast technique level is deduced by analysing the marked result and introducing optimization technique.The results have the advantage over the linear regression etc.
出处
《热带气象学报》
CSCD
北大核心
1998年第4期364-368,共5页
Journal of Tropical Meteorology
基金
"九五"攻关项目
关键词
技巧水平
集成预报
最优化技术
天气预报
Technique level Synthesizing forecast Optimization technique