摘要
旅游产业潜力在不同时态下有不同形式的表现,文章主要研究已转化成为现实竞争力的那部分过去潜力的需求和供给影响因素的来源及影响程度,并基于演绎法的原理说明旅游产业潜力影响因素及其影响途径。文章从构建旅游产业需求和潜力供给影响因素系统入手,利用数据驱动原理得出各影响因素在过去阶段对旅游产业潜力的影响程度;继而以可衡量的过去旅游产业潜力的显性指标作为因变量,以影响因素指标作为自变量构建回归模型,验证了文章对影响因素的定性分类及其权重的量化结论;最后对上述影响因素的未来变化趋势进行预测,以期为旅游产业的发展提供重要的决策参考。
In different phases, there＇s different representation of potentialities of tourism industry. This paper is aimed to study the factors that influence the supply of and demand for the past potentialities that have been successfully transformed into the current competitiveness. Through the establishment of an influencing factors system and data analysis, this paper gets the results about the impact of factors. In order to testify the conclusions, we set up two liner regression models and make the empirical tests. At last, this paper forecasts some development trends about tourism industry potentialities that could be beneficial to the practice of tourism industry.
出处
《商业经济与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第6期66-73,共8页
Journal of Business Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(06839099)
关键词
旅游产业
潜力
需求和供给
影响因素
tourism industry
potentialities
supply ＆ demand
influencing factors
