摘要
从系统论角度引入灰色关联模型、协调指数,以山西省为例遴选出旅游供给的15个评价因子,分析2000—2011年入境旅游与旅游供给的关联度及供给要素协调度,并得到以下结论:①旅游供给建构为4个子系统:核心吸引物、旅游设施、旅游服务及旅游环境;②山西省的旅游环境与入境旅游规模关联最大,经济联系及生态环境密切影响入境旅游;③旅游设施与收入关联最大,优化食、住、行旅游部门比单纯提高景区门票更能影响旅游外汇;④核心吸引物与入境旅游质量关联最大,多中心景区格局有利于山西省入境旅游深层提升;⑤山西省旅游供给系统协调关系经历了持续上升、持续下降及波动上升3个阶段,系统部分结构及层次交互才可提升整体效用,进而发挥最大乘数与放大效应.
From the perspective of system theory, using grey correlation and coordination, the paper selects 15 evaluation factors of tourism supply, then calculates correlation degree of tourism supply and inbound tourism and coordination degree among supply factors based on 2000--2011 dates in Shanxi. This paper divides tourism supply into 4 subsystems, which are core tourism attractions, tourism facilities, tourism service and tourism environment. Tourism environment is the largest supply subsystem related into inbound tourism scales in Shanxi, economical openness and ecology closely affect them. The correlation degree between tourism faculties and tourism foreign exchange is more than others＇, and improving accommodation and transportation is more effective than scenic tickets. What＇s more, the core attractions is max supply correlation subsystem with inbound tourism quality, muhicenter scenic spot pattern is good for Shanxi tourism promotion. The coordination evolution among the supply factors can be divided three stages, such as continuous upwards, consecutive drops and waving rise. Overall system can produce the best utility and multiplier effect based on interaction between parts and layers. This paper can provide support for macro expansion or structural regulation of tourism supply.
出处
《河南科学》
2013年第5期668-673,共6页
Henan Science
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41271158)
陕西师大研究生培养创新基金项目(2012CXB008)
