摘要
理论研究表明,重工业优先发展战略将导致单位资本吸纳的劳动力减少,农业从业人员增加,农村收入水平下降,城乡差距扩大。本文利用中国1978～2004年27个省级面板数据对该理论假说进行了实证检验。实证研究结果支持了本文的理论假说:赶超程度越大,城乡消费差距越大。同时,本文的实证结果不支持库兹涅茨倒U型假说;市场化和经济开放等经济转型因素导致城乡消费差距扩大;政府干预导致中国城乡消费差距扩大;农业生产支持程度和农业贷款对中国城乡消费差距影响不稳定。本文的主要结论对模型设定是稳健的。
Lin and Chen(2008)'s theoretic model reveals that heavy industry oriented development strategy will reduce labor demand in the urban sector,and thereby results in lower labor productivity in the agricultural sector,which leads to higher inequality between the urban workers and the rural farmers.A higher degree of heavy industry oriented development strategy will lead to greater inequality.This paper tests this theoretic hypothesis based on China's provincial panel data from 1978 to 2004.Empirical results support the theoretic hypothesis,and these results are robust to model specification.Meanwhile,we do not find evidences supporting the Kuznets inverse U curve hypothesis;market-oriented reform and international trade lead to higher urban-rural inequality;government intervention results in higher urban-rural inequality.
出处
《浙江社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第4期10-16,共7页
Zhejiang Social Sciences
