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对外贸易、FDI对环境污染的影响分析——基于中国时间序列的脉冲响应函数分析:1982~2006 被引量:112

The Effect of Foreign Trade and FDI on Environmental Pollution:An analysis based on the Impulse Response Function of Time Series in China:1982~2006
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摘要 本文基于1982~2006年间中国的6类环境污染指标,运用改进的熵值法计算出能够代表我国整体环境污染状况的环境污染指数,通过VAR模型的脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法,研究对外贸易、FDI对我国环境污染的长期动态影响。分析结果显示,FDI和进口贸易有利于我国环境质量的改善,而出口贸易则恶化了我国的环境,"污染避难所"假说在我国得到实证;出口贸易是环境污染加剧的重要变量。 Over the past 30 years China's economy has made tremendous development,and opening-up,the road of development,is an important successful experience,we should unswervingly adhere to it in the future.However,it is the main task for economic workers how to deal rationally with the different impact of foreign activities on China's economy and society.On the basis of the 6 environmental pollution indexes during 1982~2006,the paper calculates the environmental pollution indexes which can represent China's overall environmental situation by using the improved entropy method,through the impulse response function of VAR model and variance decomposition method,it studies the influence of foreign trade and FDI on China's environmental pollution in the long-run.The results show that FDI and import trade are helpful to improve our environmental quality and the export trade aggravates our environment.The hypothesis of 'Pollution haven' is proved in China and export trade is an important variable that aggravates environmental pollution.
出处 《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第12期62-68,共7页 World Economy Studies
基金 "985工程"二期资助(项目编号:07200701)
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参考文献27

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