摘要
宏观经济计量模型是当今世界各国普遍采用的一种研究国民经济运行情况的有效工具,主要应用于结构分析、经济政策评价和经济发展预测。本论文探索建立一个宏观经济月度计量模型,运用建立的月度计量模型进行短期预测,为经济决策提供依据。
Econometric model is an effective tool commonly used in the world to study the operation of the national economy. It′s mainly applied to structure analysis, evaluation of economic policy and forecast of economic development. This article probes into building a monthly econometric model to make short-term forecasts, providing basis for economic decisions.
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第4期59-63,共5页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
