摘要
对永定河流域官厅水库跨区域的水资源冲突问题进行了分析,并利用F H冲突分析方法建立了模型。模型中将中央政府、上游政府、下游政府作为三个局中人,通过对局中人的偏好向量和结局稳定性分析,从18种局中人可选策略中优化得到2种均衡结局———完全合作结局和部分合作结局。其中完全合作结局,即北京市采用激励策略和控制策略、上游完全削减污染物,下游负担部分费用,合作结局最有可能发生。
In the paper, the water conflict in transboundary regions of Guanting reservoir watershed is studied. The conflict model is obtained by using the conflict analysis techniques of Fraser and Hipel, in which thore are three sides concerned,the central, the upstream and the downsteam government. Out of 18 possible outcomes, the partly cooperative outcome and the fully cooperative one are optimized by analyzing the preferences of each side and the stability of their outcome.And the fully cooperative outcome will be most likdy to occur, which shows that with coordination of the central government using the stimulus and strategy,the cooperation between the upstream and downstream government can improve the status of water resource,ie, the upstream to reduce pollutant completely and the downstream to give financial support.
出处
《水科学进展》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2004年第1期40-44,共5页
Advances in Water Science
基金
国家重点科技攻关资助项目(96 920 40 04)
水利部科技创新资助项目(SCX2000 31)
博士点基金资助项目(20010027012)~~
关键词
官厅水库
跨区域
水质
水环境
污染物
conflict analysis
transboundary regions
water environment
policy
Guanting reservoir
water quality
