摘要
第二次朝核危机是冷战结束后朝鲜半岛系列危机的新高潮 ,根源是冷战状态。危机的背后是半岛走出冷战的历史要求。这一进程必然伴随着危机、动荡和风险。半岛走出冷战意味着地区战略格局的改变 ,而朝核危机的解决可能是走出冷战的开始。半岛现有格局是一个地区性战略稳定 ,但其作用已发挥到尽头。“北京会谈”拉开了多边解决朝核危机的序幕。与此同时 ,爆发战争的风险也在上升 ,危险主要来自美国。中国在朝鲜半岛有多重战略利益 ,首要和核心利益是保持半岛和平稳定。中国应在化解半岛核危机的过程中 ,逐步建立一个新的地区多边安全合作机制 ,推动半岛和平走出冷战。
The second nuclear crisis in the Korean Peninsula is a new high in the series of crises in the peninsula since the mid-1990s.These crises reflect a historical demand for the Korean peninsula to emerge from the Cold War.But this course is bound to be difficult,full of turbulent crises and dangers.The current strategic pattern in the Korean peninsula is based on a regional strategic stability that was built some fifty years ago but that has already stopped functioning.As the current nuclear crisis in the peninsula is defused,a new strategic pattern will gradually come into being.The three-way“Beijing Talks”on 23-24 April 2003,including delegates from the DPRK,the United States,and China,marked a prelude to the multilateral approach to resolve the crisis.However,the danger of a major war,which mainly is due to the United States,continues to increase.China has legitimated multiple strategic interests in the peninsula,but maintaining peace and stability in the region is paramount.During the course of defusing the Korean nuclear crisis,China should endeavor to build a new regional security cooperation regime so as to promote peace and move the peninsula out of its Cold War state.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2003年第9期59-64,共6页
World Economics and Politics
