摘要
由于滑坡变形演化过程的复杂性、随机性和不确定性,大大增加了滑坡预报的难度。文章提出的预报系统是将20多种滑坡预报模型集成滑坡预报库,利用专家系统将定量、定性预报有机结合实现综合预报,并根据更新的监测资料对预报参数、预报结果进行修正和完善。随着时间的延伸和监测资料不断更新,预报准确度越来越高,实现动态追踪预报。整个系统基于GIS平台开发,利用了GIS本身所具有的强大空间数据和图形管理功能,同时还具有数据维护与数据处理等功能。
With the characteristics of complexity,randomness and indeterminacy,landslide enhances the difficulty in prediction.In this article,the prediction system is integrated based on more than twenty kinds of landslide\|forecasting models.The synthetic prediction system is brought out in this article by combineing quantitative prediction and qualitative prediction and using professional system, and can amend the prediction factors and results according to the newest monitoring data.As a result,the results of prediction become more and more accurate as the monitoring data renew.The system,which can manage data and graph,maintain and handle data,is developed based on the GIS system that contains powerful management ability of special data and graph.
出处
《中国地质灾害与防治学报》
CSCD
2003年第2期24-27,共4页
The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control
基金
国土资源部科技司专项研究计划资助项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(编号:40172096)
