摘要
从电力公司市场开发部门电力负荷分析与预测的要求出发,着力对北京地区几年来夏季负荷的变化状况及其与气温的变化关系进行了深入的分析,采用相关与回归理论,建立起较为实用的关于夏季上升段与下降段单位温升负荷效应模型,为定量地掌握夏季负荷随气温变化规律提供了理论依据。
According to the requirement of analysis and forecast of power load in marketing department of electric power company, the power load variation in summer in recent years in Beijing region and the relation between the former and the ambient temperature variation are analyzed in detail. To provide a theoretical foundation for mastering the rule of the variation of power load with the variation of temperature in summer, using correlation and regression theory a practical regression model of load variation due to specific temperature rise at ascending period and descending period in summer is established.
出处
《电网技术》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2003年第3期46-49,58,共5页
Power System Technology
关键词
单位温升负荷效应
回归模型
电力系统
负荷预测
数学模型
correlation analysis
regression model
SPSS software
load effect at specific temperature rise
