摘要
目的分析四川省攀枝花市2012—2023年主要法定呼吸道传染病的流行特征和流行趋势,为攀枝花市法定呼吸道传染病提供科学的防控措施和依据。方法收集整理2012—2023年攀枝花市主要法定呼吸道传染病,包括流行性感冒、肺结核、流行性腮腺炎和猩红热的发病数据及人口学数据,采用描述性流行病学方法分析法定呼吸道传染病的流行特征,采用年度变化百分比(annual percent change,APC)和平均年度变化百分比(average annual percent change,AAPC)分析法定呼吸道传染病年均发病率的变化趋势。结果2012—2023年攀枝花市主要法定呼吸道传染病发病例数为15167例,年均发病率为103.09/10万,男性和女性主要法定呼吸道传染病的年均发病率,差异有统计学意义(χ^(2)=388.47,P<0.001),流行性感冒和猩红热多发于1~<10岁人群,流行性腮腺炎多发于1~<20岁人群,肺结核多发于≥60岁人群,2012—2023年攀枝花市主要法定呼吸道传染病冬春季高发。2012—2023年攀枝花市主要法定呯吸道传染病年均发病率总体呈上升趋势(AAPC=28.68%,P<0.001)。不同年份攀枝花市肺结核、流行性腮腺炎和猩红热的年均发病率总体呈下降趋势(AAPC=-5.89%,P<0.001;AAPC=-4.35%,P=0.214;AAPC=-5.20%,P=0.389),流行性感冒的年均发病率总体呈上升趋势(AAPC=55.99%,P<0.001)。结论2012—2023年攀枝花市主要法定呯吸道传染病年龄和季节分布明显,年均发病率总体呈上升趋势,建议及时分析监测结果,采取综合干预措施,有效降低呼吸道传染病发病率。
Objective To analyze the epidemiological trends and epidemiological characteristics of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases in Panzhihua City from 2012 to 2023,and to provide scientific prevention and control measures and a basis for the notifiable respiratory infectious diseases in Panzhihua City.Methods The incidence data and demographic data of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases in Panzhihua City from 2012 to 2023,including influenza,pulmonary tuberculosis,mumps and scarlet fever,were collected and organized.Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze epidemiological characteristics of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases,and the annual percent change(APC)and average annual percent change(AAPC)were used to analyze trends of the average annual incidence rates of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases.Results The number of cases of the onset of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases was 15167 in Panzhihua City from 2012 to 2023,with an average annual incidence rate of 103.09/100000.There was a statistically significant difference in the average annual incidence rates of the major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases between males and females(χ^(2)=388.47,P<0.001).Influenza and scarlet fever mainly occurred in people aged 1-<10 years old,mumps mainly occurred in people aged 1-<20 years old,and pulmonary tuberculosis mainly occurred in people aged≥60 years old,and major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases were highly prevalent in spring and winter in Panzhihua City from 2012 to 2023.The average annual incidence rate of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases showed an overall increasing trend in Panzhihua City from 2012 to 2023(AAPC=28.68%,P<0.001).In different years the average annual incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis,mumps and scarlet fever showed an overall decreasing trend in Panzhihua City(AAPC=-5.89%,P<0.001;AAPC=-4.35%,P=0.214;AAPC=-5.20%,P=0.389),the average annual incidence rate of influenza showed an overall increasing trend(AAPC=55.99%,P<0.001).Conclusion The age and seasonal distribution of major notifiable respiratory infectious diseases is evident in Panzhihua City from 2012 to 2023,the average annual incidence rate shows an overall increasing trend.It is suggested to analyze the monitoring results in time and take comprehensive intervention measures to effectively reduce the incidence rate of respiratory infectious diseases.
作者
廖洪秀
闫姝利
李琴
李春霞
黄小梅
刘润友
LIAo Hongxiu;YAN Shuli;LI Qin;LI Chunxia;HUANG Xiaomei;LIU Runyou(Panzhihua Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Panzhihua,Sichuan 617000,China;不详)
出处
《医学动物防制》
2026年第2期119-123,共5页
Journal of Medical Pest Control
基金
四川省科技厅项目(2023JDR0256)
攀枝花市科技局项目(2022ZD-S-46)。
关键词
呼吸道传染病
流行趋势
流行特征
流行性感冒
肺结核
流行性腮腺炎
猩红热
Respiratory infectious disease
Epidemiological trend
Epidemiological characteristic
Influenza
Pulmonary tuberculosis
Mumps
Scarlet fever
