摘要
随着经济全球化的深入发展,区域经济合作日益紧密。中国与东盟作为亚太地区的重要经济体,其双边贸易关系已成为全球贸易格局中的关键组成部分。本文基于2015-2024年中国-东盟进出口数据,深入分析双边商品流向及竞争力特征。研究表明,双边贸易规模持续扩张但结构失衡,商品流向呈现“资源-技术”双向依赖,形成特定产业链协同模式;劳动密集型商品竞争优势稳固,资本技术密集型商品竞争力逐步增强,资源密集型商品出口竞争力弱化。RCEP政策驱动效应显著,但外部风险仍存。未来,中国应进一步优化贸易结构,强化技术创新与区域合作,构建风险防控机制并培育自主品牌。
With the in-depth development of economic globalization,regional economic cooperation has become increasingly close.As important economies in the Asia-Pacific region,the bilateral trade relationship between China and ASEAN has become a key component of the global trade pattern.Based on the import and export data between China and ASEAN from 2015 to 2024,this paper conducts an in-depth analysis of the characteristics of bilateral commodity flow directions and competitiveness.The research shows that the bilateral trade scale has continued to expand but is plagued by structural imbalance;the commodity flow presents a'resource-technology"mutual dependence,forming a specific industrial chain collaboration model;labor-intensive commodities maintain a stable competitive advantage,the competitiveness of capital and technology-intensive commodities has gradually increased,while the export competitiveness of resource-intensive commodities has weakened.The policy-driven effect of RCEP is significant,but external risks still exist.In the future,China should further optimize the trade structure,strengthen technological innovation and regional cooperation,establish a risk prevention and control mechanism,and cultivate independent brands.
作者
陈璐
CHEN Lu(China-ASEAN School of Economics,Guangxi University,Nanning 530004,China)
关键词
中国—东盟
商品流向
贸易竞争力
China-Asean
commodity flow direction
trade competitiveness
