摘要
兼具中等至中上综合实力、重要地区影响力及一定战略自主性的国家群体直接牵动国际格局的演变,国际关系理论中的既有概念难以系统解释这类国家的行为逻辑。中坚国家概念的提出,将次大国、中等强国与地区大国概念指涉的国家纳入共同的分析范畴,可在此基础上构建包含中坚国家对其追随霸权国的收益认知及对其地区主导性受崛起国影响的认知的理论框架。中坚国家的行为呈现四种可识别的模式:一是全球及地区层面主动追随霸权国;二是全球层面主动追随霸权国;三是地区层面主动制衡崛起国;四是全球及地区层面与崛起国合作。中坚国家在现行国际格局中的差异性战略行为展示了其在全球及地区两个层面具体战略定位的共同作用,崛起国应据此实施更具针对性的战略布局。
States with medium to upper-middle composite strength,significant regional influence,and a certain degree of strategic autonomy play a direct role in shaping the evolution of the international order.Existing concepts in international relations fail to systematically explain the behavioral logic of such states.The concept of“pillar states”unites countries previously classified as secondary,middle,or regional powers within a single analytical framework.Based on this,a theoretical model can be constructed that incorporates pillar states'perceptions of the benefits of aligning with hegemonic countries and their assessments of how rising countries influence their regional dominance.Pillar states exhibit four identifiable behavioral patterns:proactive alignment with hegemonic countries at both global and regional levels;proactive alignment with hegemonic countries at the global level;proactively balancing against rising countries at the regional level;and cooperation with rising countries on both levels.These differentiated strategic behaviors reflect the combined influence of strategic global and regional positioning,suggesting that rising countries should adopt more targeted and adaptive strategies toward such states.
出处
《中国社会科学》
北大核心
2025年第11期63-87,205,206,共27页
Social Sciences in China
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“大国关系演变趋势及其对中国国际环境的影响研究”(24&ZD281)阶段性成果。
