摘要
数字金融加速了新型工业化的发展,新型工业化进一步推动数字金融发展,二者互相驱动、互相支持。基于2011—2021年中国31个省份(因数据缺失,未包含港澳台地区)的数据,运用熵值法测算新型工业化指标,得出数字金融与新型工业化不同空间与时间层面的耦合协调水平,利用PVAR模型对数字金融与新型工业化之间的关系进行实证分析。研究发现:全国新型工业化发展水平整体呈上升趋势,东部地区的新型工业化发展速度快于中西部地区;数字金融与新型工业化的耦合协调等级由失调变为协调状态,数字金融及三个子维度与新型工业化耦合协调均表现出“东高西低”的特点;数字金融与新型工业化之间存在显著的格兰杰因果关系,二者存在相互促进关系,新型工业化可以有效推动数字金融的发展,然而,数字金融对新型工业化的发展贡献度较低;数字金融在影响新型工业化的过程中,技术创新具有一定的中介作用。因此,在经济发展过程中,应注重利用新型工业化带动数字金融发展,促进数字金融与新型工业化融合发展。
Digital finance accelerates the development of new industrialization,and new industrialization further promotes the development of digital finance,and the two drive and support each other.Based on the data of 31 provinces(due to the lack of data,the statistical data mentioned here do not include the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,the Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province)in China from 2011 to 2021,the entropy value method was applied to measure the new industrialization indexes,the coupling and coordination levels of digital finance and new industrialization at different spatial and temporal levels was derived,and the relationship between digital finance and new industrialization using the PVAR model was empirically analyzed.The result finds that the overall development level of new industrialization in the country is on an upward trend,and the development of new industrialization in the eastern region is faster than that in the central and western regions.The coupling and coordination level of digital finance and new industrialization has changed from a dysfunctional state to a coordinated state,and the coupling and coordination of digital finance and the three sub-dimensions with new industrialization show the characteristics of“east high and west low”.There is a significant Granger causality between digital finance and new industrialization,and there is a mutual promotion relationship between the two,new industrialization can effectively promote the development of digital finance,however,the contribution of digital finance to the development of new industrialization is low.Digital finance has a mediating role for technological innovation in influencing new industrialization.Therefore,in the process of economic development,attention should be paid to the use of new industrialization to drive the development of digital finance and promote the integration of digital finance and new industrialization.
作者
杨立生
杨斯
YANG Lisheng;YANG Si(School of Economics and Management(School of Accounting),Yunnan University for Nationalities,Kunming 650504,China)
出处
《科技和产业》
2025年第18期235-245,共11页
Science Technology and Industry
