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某民用运输机场碳排放特征分析及碳达峰预测研究

Analysis of Carbon Emission Characteristics and Prediction of Carbon Peak at a Civil Transport Airport
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摘要 选取我国北方某民用运输机场,通过近年来的碳排放数据核算,系统分析了碳排放总量、结构特征及其关键影响因素,挖掘了具备降碳减排潜力的路径举措。通过情景分析法,设置基准、减排与达峰3种情景,测算了优化能源供给结构、加快终端电能替代、提升系统设备能效、布局碳交易市场4大优化路径的减碳潜力,研究预测了机场“碳达峰”时间点及峰值,为机场如期实现“碳达峰”目标提供科学有效的减碳策略与路径支撑。 This paper selects a civil transport airport in northern China,based on the carbon emissions accounting data from the past nine years,systematically analyzes the total carbon emissions,structural characteristics and key influencing factors,and explores the path measures with the potential of reducing carbon emissions.Through scenario analysis,three scenarios,including baseline,emission reduction and peak achievement,were set.The carbon reduction potential of four optimization paths,including optimizing the energy supply structure,accelerating the substitution of terminal electric energy,improving the energy efficiency of system equipment,and laying out the carbon trading market was calculated.The time and level of the airport's carbon peak were estimated,providing scientific and effective carbon reduction strategies and path support for the airport to achieve its carbon peak goal on schedule.
作者 王茜莹 高小波 卫璐 Wang Qianying;Gao Xiaobo;Wei Lu(China West Airport Group Co.,Ltd.,Xi'an 710075,Shaanxi,China;State Grid(Xi'an)Environmental Protection Technology Center Co.,Ltd.,Xi'an 710100,Shaanxi,China)
出处 《绿色科技》 2025年第17期264-268,274,共6页 Journal of Green Science and Technology
关键词 民用运输机场 碳排放 情景分析 碳达峰预测 civil transport airport carbon emission scenario analysis carbon peak prediction
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