摘要
为优化高速公路的交通安全设施,提高驾驶员行车安全,研究驾驶员熟悉度对高速公路事故发生位置的影响。通过构建二元logistics模型,分析不同因变量对高速公路事故发生的位置影响,明确了驾驶员熟悉度和节假日对事故发生位置的影响,并针对高速公路的交安设施提出了一定的对策建议。研究结果表明:驾驶员熟悉度和节假日对高速公路事故发生的位置都具有显著影响,其中不熟悉的驾驶员在互通立交发生事故的风险更高,比熟悉驾驶员发生事故的概率高37.9%;在考虑节假日时,非节假日在互通立交发生事故的风险更低。研究结果能够为旅游车辆、超宽断面的出口交通组织、绕城高速公路等提供一定的交安设施建议,降低行车风险。
In order to optimize the traffic safety facilities of expressway and improve the driving safety of drivers,the influence of driver familiarity on the location of highway accidents was studied.By constructing a binary logistics model,the influence of different dependent variables on the location of highway accidents is analyzed,the influence of driver familiarity and holidays on the location of accidents is clarified,and some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward for the traffic safety facilities of expressways.The results show that driver familiarity and holidays have a significant impact on the location of highway accidents,and the risk of accidents in unfamiliar drivers is higher than that of familiar drivers,which is 37.9%higher than that of familiar drivers.When considering holidays,the risk of accidents at interchanges is lower on non-holidays.The research results can provide some suggestions for traffic safety facilities for tourist vehicles,export traffic organization with ultra-wide cross-section,and ring expressway,so as to reduce the driving risk.
作者
杨斌
沈国辉
高沛
周建
李欣
Yang Bin;Shen Guohui;Gao Pei;Zhou Jian;Li Xin
出处
《时代汽车》
2025年第20期192-195,共4页
Auto Time
基金
江苏省交通工程建设局科技项目[HTSQ(B)2022(沪武锡宜)125]。
