摘要
评估中国数据安全发展态势,有利于促进数字经济高质量发展。基于2014—2023年中国30个省市面板数据,构建数据安全综合评价指标体系,采用熵权TOPSIS法测度全国、各省市及三大区域数据安全发展态势,通过Dagum基尼系数、莫兰指数、核密度估计法及马尔科夫链分析其空间差异及动态演进趋势,提出敏捷响应机制。结果显示:中国数据安全整体上呈现逐年上升的发展态势,呈现“东部>中部>西部”的阶梯分布特征;区域数据安全发展态势差异显著,东西部区域间差异最大,区域间差异是空间差异的主要来源;数据安全发展态势表现出显著正向空间集聚特征,并具有较强稳定性;全国层面、东部区域、西部区域数据安全发展态势呈多极化,中部不存在明显极化现象,随时间推移极化现象逐渐减弱;数据安全发展态势前景较好,稳定性强,展现出俱乐部趋同现象,跨类型转移概率较低,高水平省市辐射效应显著。
Assessing the development trend of data security in China is essential for promoting high-quality digital economy growth.Using panel data from 30 provinces and municipalities between 2014 and 2023,we created a comprehensive evaluation index system for data security.The entropy weight TOPSIS method measured trends at national,provincial,municipal,and regional levels.We analyzed spatial differences and dynamic evolution using the Dagum Gini coefficient,Moran s I,kernel density estimation method,and Markov chain analysis.An agile response mechanism was proposed.The results indicate that China s overall data security shows a consistent upward trend with a distribution pattern of“east>central>west”.Significant regional variations exist.The eastern region exhibits greater disparities than the western region,which are the main source of spatial differences.Data security development demonstrates notable positive spatial agglomeration characteristics and strong stability.At both national levels and within eastern and western regions,there is multi-polarization in development trends.However,polarization in the central region is less pronounced but gradually decreases over time.Overall,the outlook for data security development is promising with strong stability and evidence of club convergence.Nonetheless,cross-type transfer probabilities remain low while high-level provinces exert significant radiation effects.
作者
徐君
邢豪
张珂铭
于轩
Xu Jun;Xing Hao;Zhang Keming;Yu Xuan(School of Business,Jiangsu Normal University,Xuzhou 221116,China)
出处
《中国科技论坛》
北大核心
2025年第9期50-60,共11页
Forum on Science and Technology in China
基金
国家社科基金后期资助项目“中国创新韧性的逻辑建构、实践探索及路径提升研究”(24FJYB062)。
关键词
数据安全
时空演化
敏捷治理
Data security
Spatio-temporal evolution
Agile governance
