摘要
2011年中东变局以来,中东地区体系变革呈现出战略自主、发展优先的总体特征。国际体系与中东地区体系在权力、制度与观念层面的互动形塑了中东地区体系调整的基本面貌。一方面,霸权式微使国际体系对中东的结构性压力减弱,中东国家面临的外部约束相对松动;另一方面,中东国家以战略自主回应国际体系变化,对外加强决策及其执行的独立性,对内聚焦经济发展和社会治理,使中东地区体系向均衡格局与公正秩序演进。中东地区体系的积极调整有利于推动国际关系民主化、探索现代化多元道路、完善全球治理体系建设、促进全球文明交流互鉴。中东地区体系的调整将为全球南方集体崛起注入动力,但中东地区体系变革的深入发展也面临大国博弈与非良性竞争,地区地缘斗争阵营化和代理人化,以及国内多重危机等多种挑战。
Since 2011,the systemic reconfiguration of the Middle East has been marked by a growing emphasis on strategic autonomy and development-oriented priorities.The interplay between the international system and the regional order-across the dimensions of power,institutions,and ideas-has shaped the trajectory of the Middle East's ongoing transformation.On the international level,the global system is undergoing a shift toward a multipolar power structure,a more multidimensional institutional framework,and increasingly pluralistic normative foundations.The decline of Western hegemony has reduced structural pressures on the region,easing external constraints and expanding strategic space for regional actors.In response,Middle Eastern countries have pursued greater strategic autonomy,enhancing their independence in foreign policymaking and implementation,while increasingly prioritizing domestic economic development and social governance.These changes point toward a more balanced regional configuration and the gradual emergence of a more equitable regional order.This positive reordering of the Middle East has broader global implications.It supports the democratization of international relations,enables exploration of diverse paths to modernization,contributes to the reform of global governance,and fosters cross-cultural dialogue and mutual learning.However,the deepening of this transformation is not without challenges.Intensifying great power rivalry,unconstructive forms of competition,persistent regional geopolitical tensions,and multiple domestic crises continue to complicate the process.Still,the structural decline of Western hegemony is an irreversible trend in the current era,and the adjustment of the Middle East regional system stands to provide vital momentum for the collective rise of the Global South.
作者
赵婧
刘中民
ZHAO Jing;LIU Zhongmin
出处
《国际展望》
北大核心
2025年第5期86-107,152,153,共24页
Global Review
基金
2022年教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“百年变局下国际体系与中东地区互动关系研究”(22JJD810023)
2023年上海外国语大学校级重大科研项目“当代中东国家对外关系史研究”(2023114005)的阶段性成果。
关键词
国际体系
中东地区体系
霸权式微
战略自主
体系变革
international system
Middle Eastern order
hegemonic decline
strategic autonomy
systemic reconfiguration
