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中国市域新质生产力水平测度评价及其时空格局 被引量:2

Measurement and Spatio-temporal Pattern of the New Quality Productive Forces at the Municipal Level in China
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摘要 发展新质生产力是推动高质量发展的关键抉择,是推进中国式现代化的必由之路。文章在对新质生产力内涵进行深刻阐释的基础上,通过构建市域尺度的多维评价指标体系,刻画了2011—2021年中国278个地级及以上城市新质生产力发展的进程状态及时空分异特征。结果表明:(1)中国市域新质生产力水平稳步提升,总体上呈现“东高中平西低”的空间格局和“南快北慢”的演进趋势;(2)中国市域新质生产力水平由高到低可以划分为引领型、突破型、成长型、发育型和薄弱型5个等级,各等级城市的空间分布呈现明显的“中心—外围”格局;(3)中国市域新质生产力水平的区域差异随时间推移逐渐减小,其中东部城市的区域内差异最大,东部—东北的区域间差异最大;(4)中国市域新质生产力水平存在显著的空间相关性,“东热西冷”空间分布相对稳定,热点区域“南进北退”及冷点区域向北扩张的态势明显;(5)中国市域新质生产力的空间扩散力量整体上大于空间回波力量,高水平邻域对本地区新质生产力的发展具有显著的促进作用。最后,据此探讨了差异化新质生产力水平提升路径,可为制定新质生产力发展战略提供参考。 Developing the new quality productive forces is a crucial choice to promote high-quality development,and is the only way to advance for Chinese path to modernization.Based on a profound interpretation of the connotation of the new quality productive forces,this paper constructs a multi-dimensional evaluation index system at the municipal level,and depicts the development process and spatio-temporal characteristics of the new quality productive forces in 278 prefecture level and above cities in China from 2011 to 2021.The study shows that:1)The level of the new quality productive forces at the municipal level in China presents a steady upward trend,showing a spatial pattern of"high in the east,flat in the middle and low in the west"and an evolution trend of"fast in the south and slow in the north";2)The level of the new quality productive forces at the municipal level in China can be divided into five levels from high to low:leading,breakthrough,growth,development,and weak.The spatial distribution of each level presents a significant"center-periphery"pattern;3)The regional differences in the level of the new quality productive forces at the municipal level in China gradually decrease over time,with the largest intraregional differences in eastern cities and the largest interregional differences between the eastern and northeastern cities;4)The level of the new quality productive forces has a significant spatial correlation,with a relatively stable spatial distribution of"higher in the eastern of China and lower in the western of China".Areas with the higher value move from the north of China to the south of China,areas with lower value expands towards the north of China;5)The spread effects of the level of the new quality productive forces at the municipal level in China is generally greater than the backwash effects,and high-level neighborhoods have a significant promoting effect on the development of the new quality productive forces in the local area.
作者 王家庭 王浩然 孙荣增 WANG Jiating;WANG Haoran;SUN Rongzeng(Research Center of China Urban and Regional Economies,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China;The Laboratory for Economic Behaviors and Policy Simulation,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China)
出处 《经济地理》 北大核心 2025年第6期67-78,共12页 Economic Geography
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(21BJL057) 教育部哲学社会科学实验室专项基金项目(H0123702)。
关键词 新质生产力 测度评价 城市等级 自主创新 数字经济 绿色发展 产业升级 new quality productive forces measurement city hierarchy independent innovation digital economy green development industrial upgrading
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