摘要
本研究拓展了新兴古典-超边际经济学的理论分析框架,构建了一个关于互联网驱动制造业升级的理论模型,揭示了互联网驱动制造业结构升级的内在机制,并利用动态空间杜宾模型考察了互联网发展对制造业结构升级的影响及空间溢出效应.结果表明,互联网发展对本地区及周边地区的制造业结构升级均存在显著的促进作用,并且长期效应要大于短期效应.机制检验发现,互联网发展主要通过深化专业分工和提升生产效率驱动了制造业结构升级,并且专业分工的中介效应要明显大于生产效率.进一步研究发现,与拥有互联网资源相比,提高一个地区的互联网技术应用水平更能促进制造业结构升级;与中西部地区相比,东部地区因在“互联网+”方面的绝对优势,不仅加快了本地区的制造业结构升级,还对周边地区的制造业结构升级产生明显的空间溢出效应.以上研究结论为中国实施“互联网+制造业”行动计划提供了理论依据和经验证据.
This paper expands the theoretical analysis framework of new classical-inframarginal economics,constructs a theoretical model of Internet-driven manufacturing upgrades,reveals the internal mechanism of the Internet-driven manufacturing upgrades,and uses the dynamic spatial Dubin model to investigate the impact and spatial spillover effects of the Internet on the upgrading of the manufacturing industry.The results show that the Internet plays a significant role in promoting the upgrading of the manufacturing industry in this region and surrounding areas,with the long-term effect being greater than the short-term effect.The mechanism test found that the Internet has driven the upgrading of the manufacturing industry primarily by deepening the divi-sion of labor and improving production efficiency,with the mediating effect of the division of labor being signif-icantly greater than that of production efficiency.Further research found that compared with having Internet re-sources,improving the level of Internet technology application in a region can promote the upgrading of the manufacturing industry.Compared with the central and western regions,the eastern region has an absolute ad-vantage in"Internet+",which not only accelerates the upgrading of manufacturing industry in the region,but also has obvious spatial spillover effects on the upgrading of the manufacturing industry in the surrounding are-as.The above research conclusions provide theoretical basis and empirical evidence for China's implementa-tion of the“Internet+Manufacturing”action plan.
作者
于斌斌
YU Bin-bin(School of Economics and Trade,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006,China)
出处
《管理科学学报》
北大核心
2025年第7期1-21,共21页
Journal of Management Sciences in China
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(72073122)。
关键词
互联网
制造业结构升级
超边际分析
空间杜宾模型
Internet
the upgrading of the manufacturing structure
inframarginal economics
spatial Durbin model
