摘要
基于中国能耗“双控”向碳“双控”转变的趋势分析,识别了转型中存在的机制协调、任务分解和基础条件等挑战,梳理了国内外碳排放控制目标分解经验。基于中国“十五五”更适合采用全国碳强度控制目标,从公平性、透明度、成本有效性、数据可获性、上下协调难度、目标完成风险度等角度,提出并对比了“十五五”时期碳排放控制目标地区分解的三种思路和实施方案,建议开展基于地方自主确定目标形式的“两上两下”的国家-地方双向磋商目标制定机制,并最终提出相关政策建议。
Through the trend analysis of China’s transition from“dual control”of energy consumption to“dual control”of carbon emissions,three challenges in the transition are identified including mechanism coordination,target decomposition and basic conditions,and domestic and international experiences of decomposition of carbon emission control targets are sorted out.In China’s“15th Five-Year Plan”,it is more suitable to adopt the national carbon intensity control target.From six perspectives of fairness,transparency,cost effectiveness,data availability,coordination difficulty,and target completion risk,three approaches and implementation plans are put forward and compared for regional decomposition of carbon emission control targets during the“15th Five-Year Plan”period.The first approach is to set target for each province separately from top to down,continuing the experiences during the 13th Five-Year Plan and the 14th Five-Year Plan periods.The second approach is to develop a“two up and two down”national-regional iterative communication target setting mechanism based on the local determined targets.The third approach is to set a cap for the national carbon market and decomposed provincial targets for non-carbon markets.Based on comparison,it is recommended to adopt the second one currently.Relevant policy suggestions are put forward at last.
作者
周丽
章姝
王美涵
黄俊灵
ZHOU Li;ZHANG Shu;WANG Mei-Han;HUANG Jun-Ling(Tsinghua University-China Three Gorges Corporation Joint Research Center for Climate Governance Mechanism and Green Low-Carbon Transformation Strategy,Beijing 100084,China;Institute of Energy,Environment and Economics,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum-Beijing,Beijing 102249,China;School of Ecology and Environment,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)
出处
《气候变化研究进展》
北大核心
2025年第4期529-540,共12页
Climate Change Research
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(72140004)
中国长江三峡集团有限公司科研项目(202303160)。
关键词
双碳目标
分解
国家
地方
Dual-carbon goal
Decomposition
Nation
Region
