摘要
从成本和收益理论视角,基于2016—2022年中国家庭追踪调查数据,考察闲暇时间生育机会成本对家庭生育选择的影响和机制。研究表明:闲暇时间生育机会成本上升会显著减少家庭子女数量、降低出生概率;网络休闲娱乐重要性认同和体制内就业显著强化了闲暇时间对生育的抑制作用,并降低了妻子多胎生育概率;收入与教育水平通过强化时间机会成本感知抑制生育意愿,凸显时间资源配置与现代生育决策的核心矛盾。
This paper investigated the impact of the opportunity cost of leisure time on family fertility decisions and its mechanisms,employing a cost-benefit theoretical framework and leveraging 2016-2022 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data.Results showed that the increase in the opportunity cost of leisure time significantly reduced both fertility rates(number of children)and childbirth probabilities.Recognition of the importance of online leisure engagements and public-sector employment have amplified this suppressive effect,particularly diminishing wives'likelihood of multiple births.Moreover,income and education levels intensified the perception of time opportunity costs,exacerbating fertility intention suppression.These findings reflected the central role of time resource allocation conflicts in contemporary fertility decision-making.
作者
王浩名
范小海
WANG Hao-ming;FAN Xiao-hai(School of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036;School of Public Finance and Taxation,Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,Nanjing 210023,China)
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
北大核心
2025年第6期29-39,共11页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
教育部人文社科基金项目(24YJA840011)。
关键词
闲暇时间
机会成本
婚育行为
生育支持
后顾性因素
竞合关系
性别选择
示范效应
leisure time
opportunity cost
marital and fertility behavior,fertility support
retrospective factors
coopetition relationship
gender selection
demonstration effect
