摘要
为探究分时票价诱导策略能否引入I型大城市地铁运营中用以缓解节假日带来的车站客流严重拥挤问题,以南昌地铁受访者调查数据为代表分析I型大城市地铁乘客出行时间选择行为。采用SP调查法,设计场景对受访者在出行时间改变长度、票价与拥挤水平3种方案变量影响下的出行时间选择偏好进行数据收集,分别用条件Logit模型和混合Logit模型对效用函数的变量系数进行估计。结果表明:出行时间改变长度对出行时间选择行为的影响显著且存在负效用;票价下降水平对出行时间选择行为的影响显著且存在正效用;票价较出行时间改变长度和拥挤水平对出行时间选择行为的影响程度更大,受访者整体更愿意选择高峰前时段出发。该研究可为I型大城市缓解节假日地铁客流拥挤提供决策参考。
In order to explore whether time-dependent fare strategy can be introduced into the subway operation of type I big cities to alleviate the severe passenger flow congestion brought by holidays,the survey data of Nanchang subway respondents is used to analyze the travel time choice behavior of subway passengers in type I big cities.SP survey method was used to collect data on respondents’travel time choice preferences under the influence of three scheme variables:travel time change,fare and congestion level.Conditional Logit model and mixed Logit model were used to estimate the variable coefficients of utility function.The results show that the change length of travel time has a significant and negative effect on travel time choice behavior,and the fare level has a significant and positive effect on travel time choice behavior.Compared with the change length of travel time and the congestion level,the fare has a greater impact on the travel time choice behavior,and the respondents are more willing to choose the pre-peak period.The research can provide decision-making reference for relieving passenger flow congestion of subway in type I big cities during holidays.
作者
杨静
张玉清
郭榕洁
Yang Jing;Zhang Yuqing;Guo Rongjie(College of Transportation Engineering,East China Jiaotong University,Nanchang 330013,China)
出处
《华东交通大学学报》
2025年第3期40-47,共8页
Journal of East China Jiaotong University
基金
江西省教育厅科学技术研究项目(GJJ210654)。
