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国际天然气市场格局深刻调整 我国天然气供需总体趋向宽松——2024年天然气发展形势与2025年展望

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摘要 2024年,全球天然气市场延续宽松态势,国际气价进一步下跌,天然气供需与贸易格局持续深度调整。随着主要经济体对能源安全关切进一步提升,天然气作为能源转型过程的“过渡能源”在全球范围内得到更大的重视。我国天然气消费增长较快,供需趋向宽松,利用方式持续优化,天然气作为我国能源绿色低碳转型“桥梁”及新型能源系统稳定运行“调节器”的定位,更加清晰。展望2025年,全球天然气供应能力将迈上新台阶,天然气供需总体趋于宽松,应关注美国对全球油气市场主导能力增强带来的潜在影响。 In 2024,the global natural gas market continues to maintain a loose supply-demand balance,with international gas prices experiencing further declines and ongoing profound adjustments in gas trade landscape.Against the backdrop of heightened energy security concerns among major economies,natural gas is increasingly recognized as a critical"transition fuel"during the global energy transition.China has witnessed accelerated growth in natural gas consumption,a gradual easing of supply-demand tensions,and ongoing optimization of utilization patterns.The strategic role of natural gas as both a"bridge fuel"for green energy transition and a"stabilizer"for the stable operation of China's emerging energy systems has become more defined.Looking ahead to 2025,global gas supply capacity is expected to reach new heights,with overall market conditions remaining accommodative.Special attention should be paid to the potential implications of the United States'expanding influence over international oil and gas markets.
出处 《中国能源》 2025年第1期59-65,共7页 Energy of China
关键词 天然气 供需格局 能源转型 政策分析 Natural Gas Supply-demand Dynamics Energy Transition Policy Analysis
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