摘要
农业全要素生产率是衡量农业高质量发展的核心指标,而农村电子商务的兴起为突破传统农业生产效率瓶颈提供了新路径。为此,基于2010—2020年县级面板数据,以电子商务进农村综合示范政策作为准自然实验,构建交叠双重差分(DID)模型,系统评估该政策对农业全要素生产率的影响。结果表明:电子商务进农村综合示范政策的实施显著提升了农业全要素生产率,并在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;机制分析揭示政策通过“收入增长-剩余劳动力转移”“产业集聚”及“高标准生产”三条路径提升农业全要素生产率;并且该政策的影响具有明显的区域异质性,在中西部、贫困县及农业强县更为显著,凸显其对欠发达地区的包容性驱动作用。基于此,应持续推进电子商务进农村综合示范政策,加强农村数字基础设施建设,并针对欠发达地区提供更具针对性的政策支持,以充分发挥电子商务在农业高质量发展中的驱动作用。
Agricultural total factor productivity(TFP)is a core indicator for measuring high-quality agricultural development,and the rise of rural e-commerce provides a new pathway to overcoming the efficiency bottlenecks of traditional agriculture.Based on county-level panel data from 2010 to 2020,this study employs the E-commerce into Rural Areas Comprehensive Demonstration Policy as a quasi-natural experiment and constructs a staggered difference-in-differences(DID)model to systematically evaluate the policy’s impact on agricultural TFP.The results indicate that the implementation of the policy significantly enhances agricultural TFP,and this effect remains robust across various robustness tests;mechanism analysis reveals that the policy boosts agricultural TFP through three primary channels:income growth and surplus labor transfer,industrial agglomeration,and high-standard production;the policy’s impact exhibits significant regional heterogeneity,being more pronounced in the central and western regions,poverty-stricken counties,and agriculturally strong counties,highlighting its inclusive driving effect on underdeveloped areas.Based on these findings,this study suggests continuing the promotion of the E-commerce into Rural Areas Comprehensive Demonstration Policy,strengthening rural digital infrastructure,and providing more targeted policy support for impoverished and underdeveloped regions to fully leverage e-commerce as a driver of high-quality agricultural development.
作者
王萍萍
曹芷畅
黄卓
刘章磊
WANG Pingping;CAO Zhichang;HUANG Zhuo;LIU Zhanglei(International College,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China;College of Economics and Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China;National School of Development,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;MBA,Shanghai University,Shanghai 200444,China)
出处
《财经理论与实践》
北大核心
2025年第3期125-132,共8页
The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics
基金
北京市社会科学基金规划项目(23JJC038)。
关键词
农村电商
农业全要素生产率
交叠双重差分模型
rural e-commerce
agricultural total factor productivity
staggered difference-in-differences model
