摘要
乡村数字经济在推动乡村振兴、缩小城乡差距等方面具有至关重要的作用。文章基于中国省级统计数据,构建乡村数字经济评价指标体系,采用熵值法、探索性空间数据分析法、莫兰指数、空间计量模型等方法测算中国乡村数字经济发展水平,分析其时空演变特征,并探索造成地区差异的影响因素。结果表明:2015—2022年中国乡村数字经济发展平均水平由0.156增长至0.329,整体呈上升趋势,但区域异质性显著,空间分布呈“东高西低、南高北低”特征;空间自相关检验显示出显著正向关联性,形成低—低、低—高、高—高三种集聚模式;消费水平差异是区域分异的主导因素,其中城镇消费的驱动效应显著高于农村;消费因素通过正向空间溢出促进邻近区域发展,而产业因素因资源竞争呈负向极化效应。因此,应加快推进乡村数字基础设施建设,实现差异化数字基建布局;激活城乡消费协同动能,释放消费驱动潜力;优化数字产业空间布局,抑制负向极化效应,促进乡村数字经济稳步发展。
The digital economy in rural areas plays a crucial role in promoting rural revitalization and narrowing the urban-rural gap.Based on the provincial statistical data of China,this article constructs an index evaluation system for the digital economy in rural China.It selects methods such as the entropy method,exploratory spatial data analysis method,Moran index,and spatial econometric model to measure the development level of the digital economy in rural China,analyzes its spatio-temporal evolution characteristics,and explores the influencing factors causing regional differences.The results show that from 2015 to 2022,the average level of digital economic development in rural China increased from 0.156 to 0.329,showing an overall upward trend.However,regional heterogeneity is significant,and the spatial distribution presents the characteristics of"high in the east and low in the west,high in the south and low in the north".The spatial autocorrelation test shows a significant positive correlation,forming three aggregation patterns:low-low,lowhigh,and high-high.The disparity in consumption levels is the dominant factor for regional differentiation,among which the driving effect of urban consumption is significantly higher than that of rural areas.Consumption factors promote the development of adjacent regions through positive spatial spillover,while industrial factors show a negative polarization effect due to resource competition.Therefore,it is proposed to accelerate the construction of digital infrastructure in rural areas and achieve a differentiated digital infrastructure layout,to activate the coordinated momentum of urban and rural consumption and to unleash the potential of consumption-driven development.Suggestions such as optimizing the spatial layout of the digital industry,suppressing the negative polarization effect and promoting the steady development of rural digital economy were put forward.
作者
王丽双
傅新红
王泽昊
杨锦秀
WANG Lishuang;FU Xinhong;WANG Zehao;YANG Jinxiu(College of Management,Sichuan Agricultural University,Chengdu 611130,China;School of Information Engineering,China University of Geosciences,Beijing 100083,China)
出处
《农业经济与管理》
北大核心
2025年第3期27-39,共13页
Agricultural Economics and Management
基金
国家社会科学基金西部项目(22XJY015)。
关键词
乡村数字经济
区域差异
空间格局
空间溢出效应
rural digital economy
regional differences
spatial pattern
spatial spillover effect
