摘要
资源权、通道权、市场权是石油地缘政治博弈的核心权力。乌克兰危机爆发后,俄罗斯传统的西向能源战略快速转向亚太。作为与亚太地区地缘位置更为相近的油气资源富集区以及欧洲能源供应多元化的重要合作方,中亚能源国的能源地缘与权力地位明显上升。在俄欧油权全面脱钩、亚太新兴市场权国快速崛起以及中亚能源国多元化战略的复合推动下,以通道权相互制衡、市场权相互依赖、资源权多元分化为主要特征,新时期的俄罗斯—中亚能源互动正逐渐向均势化方向发展。这一趋势不但将反向促动欧洲—中亚能源国间的能源供应、通道联通与资源权合作,还将进一步增强东亚新兴市场权国的消费型市场权力,激化南亚跨境油气通道控制权博弈与市场份额竞争。
Resource power,channel power,and market power are the core powers in the geopolitical game of oil.Russia's traditional west-oriented energy strategic orientation quickly shifted to Asia–Pacific Since Feb.2022.As an oil and gas resource-rich area with a closer geographical location to the Asia–Pacific region and an important partner in the diversification of energy supply in Europe,the energy geography and power status of Central Asian energy countries have shown a significant upward trend.Driven by the comprehensive decoupling of oil power between Russia and Europe,the rapid rise of emerging market power states in the Asia–Pacific,and the diversification strategy of Central Asian energy countries,the main characteristics are mutual checks and balances of channel rights,mutual dependence of market power,and diversified differentiation of resource power.Russia–Central Asia energy interaction is gradually developing in a balanced direction.This trend will not only promote cooperation in energy supply,channel connectivity and resource rights among energy countries in Europe and Central Asia,but will also further enhance the consumer market power of emerging market countries in East Asia and intensify the game for control of cross-border oil and gas channels and competition for market share in South Asia.At the same time,the coordination and cooperation on energy trade shares,prices and channels between the resourcerich countries in the Middle East and Central Asia and Russia will also be strengthened.
作者
王四海
周筠松
梁萌
Wang Sihai;Zhou Yunsong;Liang Meng
出处
《现代国际关系》
北大核心
2025年第2期47-66,148,149,共22页
关键词
俄罗斯
中亚
均势互动
欧亚大陆
能源安全
Russia
Central Asia
balance of energy power
Eurasia
energy security
