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基于博弈论组合赋权的旅客风险态势感知模型研究

Research on Passenger Risk Situation Awareness Model Based on Game Theory Combination Weighting
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摘要 [目的/意义]当前,民航公安正逐步推进“平安民航”和“智慧民航”建设,适应民航定级安检评判维度和标准的统一化要求。[方法/过程]提出一种民航旅客风险态势感知模型,对旅客风险进行量化评估和动态感知。通过构建民航旅客综合风险态势评价指标体系,用蒙特卡洛模拟随机生成旅客风险指标数据集,以基于博弈论改进的熵权法、BWM法为量化依据,以一种组合赋权的方式对指标体系进行赋权计算,最终以雷达图的可视化结果呈现。[结果/结论]提出的评估模型可为民航旅客风险定级过程提供理论支撑,能够有效提高民航安检工作效率。 [Purpose/Significance]Currently,civil aviation public security is gradually promoting the construction of“safe civil aviation”and“smart civil aviation”to meet the unified requirements of the evaluation dimensions and standards of civil aviation grading security.[Method/process]A risk situation awareness model for civil aviation passengers is proposed,which quantitatively evaluates and dynamically perceives passenger risks.By constructing a comprehensive risk assessment index system for civil aviation passengers and using Monte Carlo simulation to randomly generate a passenger risk index dataset,the index system is weighted by a combination weighting method taking the improved entropy weight method and BWM method based on game theory as quantitative basis.Finally,the visualization results are presented in radar charts.[Result/Conclusion]The proposed evaluation model can provide theoretical support for the risk classification process of civil aviation passengers,effectively improving the efficiency of civil aviation grading security.
作者 余梓乔 冯文刚 刘阳 YU Ziqiao;FENG Wengang;LIU Yang(School of National Security,People's Public Security University of China,Beijing 100038,China)
出处 《中国人民公安大学学报(自然科学版)》 2024年第3期77-86,共10页 Journal of People’s Public Security University of China(Science and Technology)
基金 中央高校基科费项目(2022JKF02002) 北京社科一般项目(22GLB225)
关键词 态势感知 民航安保 博弈论 组合赋权 雷达图 situation awareness civil aviation security game theory combination weighting Radar chart
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