摘要
以中国出口到哈萨克斯坦农产品贸易的隐含碳为研究对象,基于2010—2020年中国投入产出数据,运用投入产出法测算中国出口到哈萨克斯坦的农产品隐含碳排放量,再通过构建对数平均迪氏指数法(LMDI)分解模型,从规模、结构、技术3个方面分析中国出口哈萨克斯坦农产品隐含碳排放量的影响因素。研究结果表明:2010—2020年,我国出口哈萨克斯坦农产品隐含碳排放量呈现先增后减的趋势,农林牧渔业和农副食品加工业是主要的隐含碳排放产业。规模效应是造成中国出口哈萨克斯坦农产品隐含碳排放量攀升的主要原因,结构效应对隐含碳排放有正向驱动作用但效果微弱,技术效应是降低农产品隐含碳排放的重要贡献因素。
Taking the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan as the research object,based on China’s input-output data from 2010 to 2020,the input-output method was used to calculate the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan.By constructing a logarithmic mean Dickson index(LMDI)decomposition model,the influencing factors of embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan were analyzed from three aspects:scale,structure,and technology.The results showed that from 2010 to 2020,the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan had a trend of first increase and then decrease,with agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,fishery,and food processing industries being the main sectors of embodied carbon emissions.Scale effect was the main reason for the increase in embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan.Structural effect had a positive driving effect on embodied carbon emissions,but the effect was weak.Technological effect was an important contributing factor in reducing embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products.
作者
魏荷
徐妍
WEI He;XU Yan(Business School,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi830017,China;Research Center for High Quality Industrial Development in the Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt,Urumqi830017,China)
出处
《现代农业》
2024年第2期60-67,共8页
Modern Agriculture
基金
新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目(21BJY065)
新疆师范大学青年拔尖人才项目(XJNUQB2023-03)。
关键词
农产品贸易
贸易隐含碳
投入产出法
LMDI分解模型
agricultural trade
trade embodied carbon
input-output method
LMDI decomposition model
