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“一带一路”沿线国家贸易便利化对中国双向FDI协调发展的影响分析 被引量:1

Analysis of the impact of trade facilitation in countries along “the Belt and Road” on the coordinated development ofChina’s two-way FDI
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摘要 为研究东道国贸易便利化是促进还是抑制中国双向FDI协调发展,利用“一带一路”沿线38个国家数据进行实证分析;借助引力模型和中介模型,分析东道国贸易便利化是如何通过贸易成本渠道、市场规模渠道影响中国双向FDI协调发展,以及引入交互项分析投资便利化的调节效应。研究发现,一国的双向FDI具有协调发展性,东道国的IFDI流量的增加促进其OFDI的增加,东道国贸易便利化水平提高有利于中国OFDI和IFDI的增加和双向FDI的协调发展,且具有国家收入和基础设施的异质性;主要通过降低东道国的贸易成本和扩大当地的市场规模来促进中国双向FDI流量的增加,进而促进中国双向FDI的协调发展;东道国投资便利化水平上升增大了贸易便利化对中国双向FDI协调发展的正向促进作用。研究表明,加强与“一带一路”成员国之间的合作和贸易往来,增加与成员国之间基础设施、海关环境、金融市场、电子商务和规章制度环境等方面条例的签订;要加强本国基础设施、规章制度环境等建设,提高本国贸易便利化水平,促进双向FDI的协调发展。 To investigate whether trade facilitation in host countries promotes or impedes the coordinated development of China's two-way Foreign Direct Investment(FDI),empirical analysis was conducted utilizing data from 38 countries along“the Belt and Road”.Leveraging the gravity model and mediation model,the study examined how host country trade facilitation influences China's two-way FDI coordination through channels of trade costs and market scale.Interaction terms were introduced to assess the moderating effect of investment facilitation.The study revealed that a country's two-way FDI exhibits coordinated development,with an increase in the host country's Inward FDI(IFDI)flow promoting a corresponding increase in Outward FDI(OFDI).Moreover,an elevation in the host country's trade facilitation level augments China's OFDI and IFDI,fostering the coordinated development of two-way FDI.This effect varied based on national income and infrastructure heterogeneity,primarily driven by a reduction in host country trade costs and expansion of the local market size,thereby stimulating China's two-way FDI flows.Furthermore,an escalation in the host country's investment facilitation level positively impacts China's two-way FDI by enhancing trade convenience,thereby facilitating coordinated development.The research underscores the necessity of strengthening cooperation and trade with member countries of“the Belt and Road”initiative.It advocates increased regulation signing with member countries pertaining to infrastructure,customs environment,financial markets,e-commerce,and regulatory frameworks.Moreover,emphasis is placed on bolstering domestic infrastructure and refining regulatory and institutional environments to elevate trade facilitation levels,thereby promoting the coordinated development of two-way FDI.
作者 方建国 林泓杰 FANG Jianguo;LIN Hongjie(School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350108,Fujian,China)
出处 《长安大学学报(社会科学版)》 2024年第1期77-92,共16页 Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition)
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(21BJL019)。
关键词 “一带一路” 贸易便利化 双向FDI 协调性发展 “the Belt and Road” trade facilitation two-way FDI coordinated development
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