摘要
文章基于2003—2017年30个省级面板数据,运用门槛回归模型分析外商直接投资在国内投资与贸易条件下的经济增长效应。实证结果表明,外商直接投资对中国经济增长产生积极影响,经济增长作用存在基于国内投资的单门槛效应和进出口贸易的双门槛效应。地区异质性研究结果表明,东部地区分别存在基于国内投资与进出口贸易的单门槛效应,中部地区基于国内投资与进出口贸易的门槛效应不显著,西部地区分别存在基于国内投资与进出口贸易的单门槛效应。同时稳健性检验结果显著,得出相近结论,并提出政策启示。
Based on the 30 provincial panel data from 2003 to 2017,this paper uses the threshold regression model to analyze the economic growth effect of foreign direct investment under domestic investment and trade condi⁃tions.The empirical results show that foreign direct investment has a positive impact on China’s economic growth,and the effect of economic growth is based on the single threshold effect of domestic investment and the double threshold effect of import and export trade.The results of the regional heterogeneity study show that the eastern re⁃gion has a single threshold effect based on domestic investment and import and export trade,the central region has an insignificant threshold effect based on domestic investment and import and export trade,and the western region has the single threshold effects based on domestic investment and import and export trade.At the same time,the ro⁃bustness test results are significant,and similar conclusions are drawn,with policy inspirations put forward.
作者
林俐
孙寅
LIN Li;SUN Yin(Wenzhou University Business School,Wenzhou 325035,China)
出处
《经济论坛》
2022年第10期140-152,共13页
Economic Forum
基金
国家社科基金一般项目(18BGL192)
教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(17YJC790011)。
关键词
外商直接投资
门槛效应
国内投资
进出口贸易
Foreign direct investment
Threshold effect
Domestic investment
Import and export trade
