摘要
城市作为旅游产业发展的重要空间载体,其韧性水平对于推动形成旅游业高质量发展的新格局有重要作用。研究基于扰沌理论、新发展理念等构建了城市韧性和旅游业高质量发展的综合指标体系,并采用2010—2019年长江经济带108个地级市的面板数据进行指标测算。同时,运用普通面板回归模型与面板门槛回归模型对城市韧性与旅游业高质量发展的影响效应及其非线性门槛特征进行了实证检验。研究发现:(1)长江经济带的城市韧性水平和旅游业高质量发展水平均存在非均衡性的空间分布特征;(2)城市韧性水平显著促进了旅游业高质量发展,其中,重组能力对旅游业高质量发展的影响效果最大,恢复能力影响效果最小;(3)长江经济带整体及中、下游地区的城市韧性水平对旅游业高质量发展的影响均表现出正向边际递减的非线性特征,而长江上游地区未通过门槛效应检验。
Based on the chaos theory and other theories, the research constructs a comprehensive index system of urban resilience and high-quality development of tourism. To investigate the impact of urban resilience on the high-quality development of the tourism industry and its nonlinear threshold characteristics, it uses panel data from 108 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2010 to 2019 to measure the indicators and uses the ordinary panel regression model and the panel threshold regression model to empirically test the relationship between the urban resilience and the high-quality development of tourism. The study finds that: 1) The spatial distribution characteristics of urban resilience and high-quality development of the tourism industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt are heterogeneous. 2) Urban resilience significantly promotes the high-quality development of tourism, among which, reorganization ability has the greatest effect on the high-quality development of tourism, and recovery ability has the least effect. 3) The entire Yangtze River Economic Belt, as well as its middle and lower reaches, demonstrate nonlinear characteristics of positive marginal decline between urban resilience and high-quality tourism development, while the upper reaches of the Yangtze River did not pass the threshold effect test.
作者
赖菲菲
谢朝武
黄锐
LAI Fei-fei;XIE Chao-wu;HUANG Rui(College of Tourism,Huaqiao University,Quanzhou 362021,China;Center for Tourism Safe&Security Research of China Tourism Academy,Quanzhou 362021,China)
出处
《人文地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第6期171-181,191,共12页
Human Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41971182)
福建省科技厅创新战略研究项目(2021R0058)。
关键词
韧性
旅游业高质量发展
门槛效应
非线性影响
resilience
high-quality development of tourism
threshold effect
nonlinear impact
