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城市韧性的水平测度及其时空演化规律——以江苏省为例 被引量:44

The Measure of Urban Resilience and Its Spatio-temporal Evolution: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province
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摘要 城市是一个复杂的社会系统,健康、安全和基层民生保障是影响城市可持续发展的重要因素,锻铸城市韧性,是城市实现高质量发展的题中之义。基于2009-2018年江苏各地市面板数据,测度了各城市韧性水平,借助泰尔指数挖掘区域韧性发展差异,同时,考察了城市韧性空间相关性特征,并诊断各城市韧性的障碍因子及城市韧性的空间关联特征。结果表明:(1)地区韧性发展空间异质性显著,韧性总水平呈现"苏南>苏中>苏北"的空间分布格局;(2)2009-2018年江苏城市韧性在空间上呈现出显著的正向空间集聚分布特征,城市韧性空间关联网络联系日趋紧密,但网络密度仍然较低,网络框架相对松散。城市韧性的提升,需加大城区绿化的建设力度、优化高等教育布局结构、大力发展先进制造业、增强核心城市的辐射带动。 The city is a complex social system,and health,safety and grassroots livelihood security are the important factors that affect the sustainable development of cities.Forming urban resilience is the key to achieving high-quality development of cities.Based on the panel data of various cities in Jiangsu Province from 2009 to 2018,this paper measured the resilience levels of various cities,mined the differences of regional resilience development with the help of the Theil index,investigated the spatial correlation characteristics of urban resilience,and diagnosed the obstacles and spatial correlation characteristics of urban resilience.The results show that:(1)It was remarkable for the spatial heterogeneity of regional resilience:the overall level of resilience decreased from south to middle and north Jiangsu.(2)From a overall perspective,urban resilience in Jiangsu presents a significant positive spatial agglomeration feature from 2009 to 2018,although the spatial correlation network of urban resilience is becoming more and more closely connected,the network density is still low and the network framework is relatively loose.
作者 孙亚南 尤晓彤 Sun Yanan;You Xiaotong
出处 《南京社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2021年第7期31-40,48,共11页 Nanjing Journal of Social Sciences
基金 江苏省高校哲学社会科学重大项目“江苏省城市韧性水平及综合承载力提升研究”(2020SJZDA055) 江苏省社会科学基金项目“江苏省城市韧性水平测度与提升路径研究”(20EYD004)的阶段性成果
关键词 城市韧性 韧性测度 时空演化 urban resilience resilience measure spatio-temporal evolution
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