摘要
规模、结构与效率的耦合协调关系是关乎产业结构转型背景下旅游产业总量优化、集约生产与提质增效有序并进的重要科学问题,动态把握其演化特征及影响因素对推动区域旅游产业高质量发展具有重要的理论价值和现实意义。构建旅游产业规模、结构与效率的耦合协调分析框架,运用修正耦合协调模型、LISA时间路径、时空跃迁及时空地理加权回归等方法,探析中国2011-2019年旅游产业规模、结构与效率耦合协调的时空动态特征及影响因素。结果表明:(1)中国旅游产业规模、结构与效率的耦合协调水平呈显著提升趋势,存在东部>中部>东北>西部的区域分异,空间扩散态势逐渐增强。(2)中国旅游产业规模、结构与效率的耦合协调水平的局部空间结构和空间依赖方向的总体波动幅度小,空间整合性强;局部空间关联结构较为稳定,存在明显的转移惰性与路径依赖,尤其是东北地区和西部地区。(3)科技创新、城镇化和交通设施均显著正向影响旅游产业规模、结构与效率的耦合协调水平,政府调控和产业结构对中部地区和西部地区的正向影响逐渐显现,人力资本则对东部地区的正向影响较强。
Against the background of the industrial transformation and upgrading,the coupling coordination concerning the scale,structure,and efficiency of the tourism industry is conducive to rationally optimizing its productivity,quality,and efficiency.There is great theoretical and practical significance in understanding the evolution characteristics and its factors influencing the high-quality development of the regional tourism industry.This study constructed an analysis framework regarding the coupling coordination relationship among scale,structure,and efficiency.The spatiotemporal dynamics characteristics and factors influencing the coupling coordination of scale,structure,and efficiency in China's tourism industry were studied from 2011 to 2019.The methods used to achieve this included the modified coupling coordination model,the Local Indicators of Spatial Auto-correlation(LISA)time path,spatiotemporal transition,and spatiotemporal weighted regression.The results show that:(1)The level of coupling coordination of the scale,structure,and efficiency of tourism industry in China showed a significant increasing trend,with the ranking of the regions in terms of this level being Easter Area>Central Area>Northeastern Area>Western Area.Moreover,a trcnd of a gradual increase in spatial diffusion was also evident.(2)There was an overall small range of fluctuation of local spatial structure and spatial dependence within the level of coupling coordination of scale,structure,and efficiency of tourism industry in China,whereas there was strong spatial integration.In addition,the structure of local spatial correlation was relatively stable and there were obvious transfer inertia and path dependence,particularly in the Northeastern and Western Areas.(3)Scientific and technological innovation,urbanization,and transportation facilities have all had significant positive impacts on the level of coupling coordination of the scale,structure,and efficiency of tourism industry in China.Furthermore,government regulation and industrial structure will play an increasingly important role in promoting the Central and Western Areas,while human capital will have a strong positive impact on the Eastern Area.
作者
王兆峰
谢佳亮
WANG Zhaofeng;XIE Jialiang(Tourism College,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,Hunan,China)
出处
《地理学报》
EI
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第4期961-979,共19页
Acta Geographica Sinica
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41971188)
湖南省国内一流培育学科建设项目(5010002)。
关键词
旅游产业规模
旅游产业结构
旅游产业效率
耦合协调
时空跃迁
影响因素
tourism industry scale
tourism industry
tourism industry efficiency
coupling coordination
spatiotemporal transition
driving factors
